States & Candidates

States can change the direction of our country.

Wisconsin 2020

Chamber Makeup

State Senate

14 Democrats

19 Republicans

State House

36 Democrats

63 Republicans

Opportunity Assessment

Wisconsin is one of three states that determined the 2016 election for Trump, and it looked like the state would be heavily contested again in 2020. But now with Trump on retreat nationwide, we believe there is a chance  to flip the State Assembly through a come-from-behind victory in the weeks leading up to the election.

The Stakes

Wisconsin has been the scene of some of the ugliest state politics in the country as a pack of extremist legislators bankrolled by narrow special interests have undone the state’s progressive reputation through initiatives like:

  • Forcing through legislative maps that are by some measures the most gerrymandered in the country
  • Destroying worker protections and the ability of state employees to collectively bargain
  • Undermining Democratic Gov. Tony Evers’ COVID-19 response, including by forcing people to vote in-person at the height of the first wave of the pandemic and a complete failure of the legislature to meet in almost 200 days while Wisconsin became the country’s #1 COVID-19 hotspot

2020 Political Landscape

  • In 2020 the entire Assembly is up for election and Democrats need to net 14 out of 63 Republican seats to win a majority
  • While this may seem difficult, it appears Democrats may be pulling away in the statewide vote, eroding Republican margins in particular in the Milwaukee suburbs and exurbs.
  • Republican Speaker Robin Vos, the architect of many of the state’s most aggressively destructive policies, appears to be losing support in his normally safe Republican district.
  • In 2018:
    • Sen. Tammy Baldwin carried a majority of State Assembly Districts in her successful re-election campaign
    • Republicans were much better funded than they are in 2020, when Democrats have a chance to be the answer to Republicans’ complacency